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  • 4 weeks ago
In an interview with India Today TV, former Chief of Naval Staff Admiral Arun Prakash discussed the impact of the ongoing conflict between the United States and Iran on global maritime security.

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00:00So, Indian seafarers once again caught in the crossfire of the conflict between Iran and the United States.
00:07Joining me now is one of India's most distinguished admirals. Admiral Arun Prakash joins me.
00:13Appreciate your joining us, Admiral Prakash.
00:15At least eight Indian seafarers have been killed in this conflict between Iran and the United States.
00:21The latest just happening today.
00:23What's your first reaction to it?
00:26Are we seeing a constant violation of international law by both sides?
00:31Iran firing its cruise missiles, America with its naval blockade and innocent Indian seafarers getting caught in the crossfire in
00:40the Strait of Hormuz.
00:43Yes, it is indeed most unfortunate that once again Indian seafarers should have been made a target in this conflict.
00:51This is the second or third instance where an Indian sailor has been killed.
00:57And as you perhaps know that Indian sailors form almost one third of the seafaring population of the world.
01:05So, at any given time there will be one or more Indian sailors on any ship's crew.
01:10So, this targeting of merchant ships is most unfortunate and it reflects very poorly on all of us and on
01:18the international community, in fact.
01:20And if I may add, international laws seem to have been jettisoned or abandoned by everyone.
01:27The laws of war, humanitarian laws, maritime laws, etc. have been just suspended.
01:33And nobody seems to be bothered about it.
01:36I mean, for example, this whole conflict started with an attack on a girl's school where 160-odd children were
01:43killed.
01:43And then we had the assassination of the political leadership of a country by military means, unheard of.
01:50And then we have this succession of attacks on neutral merchant ships.
01:54So, I think this has to be halted and India needs to now exert its moral or strategic weight and
02:03bring the belligerents to heel and ask them to put a stop to this unnecessary violence.
02:10Because it's going to have immense impact on the world economy.
02:15Already energy is being hit badly.
02:23So, you know, we also had, Admiral, you'll recall, an Iranian ship which had just completed naval exercises with India
02:31being hit off the coast of Sri Lanka.
02:34Several Iranians died in that.
02:36And now, as you rightly say, several Indians seafarers are being caught in this crossfire.
02:41You're saying, put your moral and strategic weight.
02:44But what weight can we put in?
02:45Do we really have any leverage in a battle like this?
02:50What real weight can we put?
02:52How do you ensure free and safe navigation through the Strait of Hormuz?
03:01Well, I mean, this whole issue seems to have gone out of hand.
03:06I mean, there's a total impasse in the Persian Gulf.
03:11On one hand, the U.S. Central Command says that there is freedom of navigation and everybody can go and
03:17come as they please.
03:18At the same time, the Iranians are saying that there is, no, nobody enters or leaves the Persian Gulf without
03:24our permission.
03:25And then after that, President Trump has gone and said that he is the champion of the Hormuz or some
03:33words to that effect.
03:34And now, U.S. is going to impose a tax of 20% on every vessel that leaves or enters.
03:39So, there seems to be total chaos in the Persian Gulf.
03:43And somebody in the international community seems to be completely at a loss of how to proceed or go ahead.
03:49But the net result is that energy traffic has plummeted.
03:54Insurance rates have zoomed.
03:56Nobody is willing to undertake war insurance.
03:58So, the net impact has already been felt.
04:02I think Brent crude has shot up again to $80, $90 per barrel.
04:07And world reserves are coming down.
04:09America is going to feel it very soon if they haven't felt it already.
04:14And Trump himself is going to feel the heat very soon.
04:18So, somebody like India, which is badly affected, and yet it has some moral weight, should speak up and say,
04:27let's stop this.
04:28Come back to the negotiating table.
04:30I mean, there was great hope that the Islamabad MOU would bring an end to this mindless conflict.
04:35But that seems to have been completely shattered now.
04:38So, somebody has to speak up.
04:39Nobody seems to be speaking.
04:44Who do you blame?
04:46Do you blame one side or the other when you read that in this particular instance, it was a UAE
04:50vessel, which carried this Indian seafarer.
04:55There were UAE tankers, which were hit by an Iranian cruise missile.
04:59Do we blame the Iranians?
05:01We've already called in the ambassador of Iran to India.
05:05India, is it squarely on Iran, this responsibility, or do you believe it's a shared responsibility that both Iran and
05:13the United States have much to answer for?
05:18No, in this case, yes, the ships were Emirati ships.
05:23So, the Emirates are involved in this conflict one way or the other.
05:27But earlier, the U.S. Navy, U.S. aircraft fired missiles at neutral ships, killing civilian crews.
05:34That was completely uncalled for.
05:35And if you step back a little, this is a hugely unequal conflict.
05:40Iran, suffering under the weight of 40 years of economic sanctions and so on, and boycotted by the whole world,
05:48is facing the world's most powerful military nation in alliance with one of the most modern and powerful militaries belonging
05:56to Israel.
05:57And they've been hammered for the last 40-50 days.
06:00They have very little to fight back with, except the Hormuz Strait, which they've weaponized.
06:06You can't blame them.
06:07They have nothing else to fight with unless they keel over and surrender abjectly.
06:11So, they are using the only instrumentality which is left to them, which is the Hormuz Strait and making the
06:19world and the U.S.A. feel the pain.
06:21So, while shooting, I mean, firing at merchant ships is not part of any blockade or anything.
06:33But they have no choice, I think, in this particular case.
06:40So, if you're saying the Iranians have no choice, do the merchant navy vessels have any choice?
06:44You made an important point, 30%.
06:46I repeat that figure, nearly 30% of those seafarers are Indians across global merchant navy ships.
06:53Do merchant navy companies now just abandon the Strait of Hormuz in your view?
06:58Because we're seeing a slowdown, in any case, in the number of vessels, once again, that are going through the
07:03Strait.
07:03But they are, it is one of the world's major global oil supply routes.
07:08Do you believe that until there is some sense that prevails on both sides, merchant navy ships should just abandon
07:14the Strait of Hormuz?
07:18No, they should not.
07:19In fact, merchant shipping traffic should be resumed and brought to as near to normal as possible.
07:24But then, I mean, how do we bring a halt to the hostilities?
07:30Let's face it, Iran is faced with an existential threat.
07:35A head of state, the president of the USA has said, not once or twice, but many, many times,
07:40that he's threatening to wipe out a whole civilization.
07:44I mean, you could stretch it a little and say he's threatening a nuclear attack.
07:48So, when you threaten a nation with existential threat, then how do you bring these hostilities to a close?
07:57So, somebody has to back off.
07:58Somebody has to bring sanity to this whole affair.
08:01I mean, Israel has certain interests that they want to achieve.
08:07And they are prodding America to continue with these hostilities.
08:12And Iran, of course, is in a corner.
08:16So, all three, I mean, the Islamabad, MOU seem to be returned to sanity.
08:20But I think the USA has, with great deliberation, shattered it.
08:25And we are back to square one.
08:29Right.
08:31Right.
08:31Well, very strong words.
08:33A need for sanity, as you're calling it.
08:35And someone needs to speak up.
08:37Admiral Prakash, as always, for joining me.
08:40Thank you so much.
08:45Thank you, Mr. Shra.
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