As Ukraine enters the fifth summer of war, many Western analysts argue that Kyiv has seized the initiative and may even be on the path to victory. From AI-powered warfare and humanoid robots to deep strikes inside Russia, Ukraine is unveiling new capabilities that could reshape the conflict. But are these signs of a decisive turning point, or another wave of premature optimism? This video examines the evidence, the challenges, and what victory could really mean.
00:00 - Is Ukraine Winning the War?
01:53 - Drone Strikes on Russian Infrastructure
08:16 - AI and Combat Robotics
13:01 - The Frontline Manpower Crisis
16:13 - Reality of the Donbas Offensive
20:09 - Air Defense Deficits and Escalation Risks
Support us directly as we bring you independent, up-to-date reporting on military news and global conflicts by clicking here: https://www.youtube.com/@TheMilitaryShow/join
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SOURCES: https://pastebin.com/ABAsXdJG
00:00 - Is Ukraine Winning the War?
01:53 - Drone Strikes on Russian Infrastructure
08:16 - AI and Combat Robotics
13:01 - The Frontline Manpower Crisis
16:13 - Reality of the Donbas Offensive
20:09 - Air Defense Deficits and Escalation Risks
Support us directly as we bring you independent, up-to-date reporting on military news and global conflicts by clicking here: https://www.youtube.com/@TheMilitaryShow/join
#militarystrategy #militarydevelopments #militaryanalysis
#themilitaryshow
SOURCES: https://pastebin.com/ABAsXdJG
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00:00Ukraine is headed toward victory.
00:03At least that's the opinion of a growing number of Western officials, analysts and media.
00:07And of course, Ukrainian officials.
00:10As the war in Ukraine heads into its fifth summer, many experts have become increasingly
00:14confident that Ukraine has not just seized the initiative, but victory itself.
00:19As Patrick Tucker, science and technology editor for the US defense outlet Defense One,
00:25puts it,
00:25Ukraine isn't just surviving its grueling war with Russia, it is in some ways thriving
00:30and may even be on a path to victory.
00:33But is that accurate?
00:34In previous years, we've seen similar rounds of optimism about Ukraine's prospects
00:39that turned out to be obviously premature.
00:41For example, during Ukraine's counteroffensive in Kharkiv Oblast in 2022,
00:46at the onset of its 2023 counteroffensive in Zaporizhia and Kherson Oblast,
00:52during its incursion into Russia's Kursk region in 2024, and during the fuel crisis inside Russia,
00:58caused by Ukrainian strikes on energy infrastructure during the summer of 2025.
01:04In each of those cases, Ukraine's advantage turned out to be temporary,
01:08and in the case of the 2023 counteroffensive and Kursk incursion,
01:13eventually turned into heavy defeats.
01:15But this time might be different. Ukraine has upped the ante significantly in recent months,
01:20and unleashed something so advanced that it might signal to Russian President Vladimir Putin
01:24that the war is over, and not in his favor.
01:27We're talking something totally sci-fi, humanoid battle robots.
01:32Now, we know that drones have made a big impact on the battlefield.
01:36The Ukrainian armed forces have dramatically increased the number and range of their medium
01:40and long-range missile and drone strikes inside Russia.
01:43A flurry of advanced new weapons systems has entered the fray, with more being introduced
01:48all the time. And the results appear to justify the confidence in Ukraine's prospects. Ukraine is
01:54now striking critical Russian military and energy infrastructure and key logistic routes daily.
02:00Its new range of medium-range strike drones, like the Hornet, has turned the key
02:05Novorossiya highway into a road of death. The highway is the main artery linking occupied
02:11Crimea with the Russian mainland, through the occupied oblasts of Kherson, Zaporizhia, Donetsk and Luhansk.
02:18Ukrainian strikes have left dozens of Russian military vehicles, fuel tankers and other
02:22vehicles burnt out along the road, along with gas stations, railway infrastructure and bridges.
02:28As a result, Crimea is currently undergoing a severe fuel crisis. Residents have been restricted
02:34to 20 litres of fuel per day, with massive queues forming as Crimeans struggled to get their hands
02:39on the precious liquid. Authorities are also predicting a complete collapse of the summer
02:44tourist season, a critical revenue source for the peninsula. But it could be the prelude to
02:50something much more dramatic. Speculation from both the Russian and Ukrainian sides is growing
02:55that these events aren't just an economic and reputational blow to Russia. A growing number of
03:00analysts now also believe that they're likely set up for a daring Ukrainian attempt to land troops on the
03:06peninsula to try and see some or all of it. At the same time, Ukrainian long-range drones and missiles
03:13are undeniably reaching ever deeper into Russia and hitting important targets with growing frequency.
03:19Oil refineries and storage facilities, key military industrial production facilities and poignant
03:25cultural centers are all being pummeled. The increasingly audacious nature of these strikes
03:31was vividly illustrated recently in St. Petersburg, Russia's second most important city. During the
03:37St. Petersburg International Economic Forum, Russia's premier economic gathering, regarded by many as
03:43Russia's Davos, Ukraine attacked the city with dozens of drones. A Russian corvette, dubbed the Boyki,
03:49was hit in a dry dock in the Kronstadt Island port, causing a fire and likely extensive damage.
03:55The St. Petersburg oil terminal, one of the largest oil transshipment complexes in northwestern Russia,
04:02also went up in flames. Russian authorities claimed that debris from a downed enemy drone
04:07caused a major fire, which had claimed the lives of two firefighters. Flumes of smoke were visible from
04:12the conference venue, prompting some Ukrainian and western observers to claim that the strikes had
04:18disrupted the conference. However, no evidence of any disruption was visible at the event itself,
04:24no running for shelters, no panic, no delayed sessions, nothing. In fact, the event attracted
04:30more than 20,000 participants from 130 countries, challenging claims in the west that the war on
04:35Ukraine has isolated Russia. The war has certainly isolated Russia from the west, but as Putin's recent
04:42high-profile visit to China and the guest list at the SPIEF indicate, isolation doesn't extend to the
04:48other seven-eighths of the world in any meaningful way. Indeed, during a plenary session featuring Putin,
04:55Saudi Energy Minister Abdulaziz bin Salman Al Saud described relations between the two nations as
05:02until death do us part. Still, as Tucker writes, oil infrastructure deep in Russian territory is no
05:09longer safe, giving Kyiv leverage over Moscow's export revenues. And as of mid-May 2026, Ukraine's military has
05:17struck Russian oil refineries 158 times in total, including 24 of Russia's 33 refineries that are
05:24capable of processing over 1 million tons of oil per year. At least 35 of those strikes occurred during
05:312026, underscoring the increasing frequency and potency of the strikes. According to Reuters sources,
05:38virtually all major oil refineries in central Russia have been forced to halt or scale back fuel output as a
05:44result, representing roughly a quarter of its total output. Unfortunately for Ukraine,
05:50it hasn't done as much damage as they hoped, at least not yet. Despite the temporary or perhaps
05:55permanent shutdown of refineries in Tuapse, Perm, Kirishi, Ryazan and Saratov, Russia's oil export
06:03revenues have actually been increasing. In May 2026, the volume of seed deliveries of crude oil from Russia
06:10reached an average of 3.46 million barrels per day, a year-on-year increase of 120,000 barrels from
06:172025. And this at a time when oil prices have gone through the roof. Russia has been one of the
06:23major
06:23beneficiaries of the US and Israel's unprovoked attacks on Iran, which retaliated by shutting
06:28down the critical strait of Hormuz and attacking the energy infrastructure of Gulf states that host US
06:34military bases. The result has been a severe supply shock in deliveries of oil and natural gas,
06:40causing prices to spike and the US to issue temporary waivers on sanctions on Russian oil.
06:46At the SPIEF, Putin also made the point that oil revenues were no longer the driver of Russia's
06:51economy that they once were. Since 2022, the share of oil and gas revenues has dropped from around 40%
06:58to
07:0023%. Although of course it is significant, it would be wrong to say that this is critically important
07:05for us, he said. It's also an uncomfortable fact that Ukraine is a long way to go before it causes
07:11anywhere near the same kind of damage to Russia's oil refineries as Russia has wreaked on Ukraine.
07:17And Ukraine used to have a thriving oil refinery industry of its own, supplying up to half of its
07:22gasoline needs. Not anymore. Chairman of the Anti-Monopoly Committee of Ukraine,
07:28Pavel Kirilenko, told Parliament in March that the Kremenchuk oil refinery had completely shut
07:34down operations as a result of Russian missile and drone strikes. Energy Minister Denis Shmihal added
07:40that the refinery had been hit by 69 missiles and around 260 drones. The refinery was the largest
07:47remaining one in Ukraine. Ukraine's other major refineries in Lisichunt, Kurson and Drohobich
07:54had previously been destroyed or occupied. Consequently, Ukraine now relies entirely on
07:59imports for its fuel supply, primarily sourcing gasoline and diesel from Poland, Lithuania,
08:05Romania and Greece. But the damage Ukraine is causing to Russia's oil industry and revenues is far from
08:11the only way in which analysts like Tucker feel the war has shifted decisively in Ukraine's favour.
08:16They also claim that Ukraine has seized the initiative on the battlefield,
08:20thanks largely to what Tucker calls its fierce focus on AI and robotics.
08:26Ukraine has developed drones and ground robots that can hold territory and even take it back.
08:32Ukrainian ground robots reportedly now perform 80% of logistic tasks on the front lines,
08:37such as carrying explosives into enemy positions and evacuating the wounded,
08:41but they're increasingly being used in direct combat. In the summer of 2025, a single remote-controlled
08:48droid TW 12.7 robot, equipped with the machine, reportedly held its position for 45 days. According
08:57to a 3rd Army Corps spokesperson, the robot and its operator, situated some 6.2 miles away,
09:03disrupted every attempted breakthrough and prevented enemy infiltration with no loss of Ukrainian life.
09:10But all of that is being taken up a notch, or two or three, with the humanoid battle robots.
09:15Two Phantom MK1 humanoid robots were reportedly transferred to Ukraine for testing in February
09:222026. They were tested mainly for logistics and supply missions in hazardous areas, and according to
09:28InterestingEngineering.com, highlighted both the promise and current limitations of the technology.
09:34The trial reportedly successfully demonstrated the platform's potential for frontline support roles.
09:40However, the Phantom MK1 remains far from a battlefield super-soldier, with a limited payload capacity of
09:47around ÂŁ44, no waterproofing, and battery endurance insufficient for large-scale operational use.
09:54The US manufacturer of the Phantom Foundation plans to address these shortcomings with the Phantom 2,
10:00which is expected to be sent to Ukraine later in 2026. The upgraded model will reportedly have
10:07superhuman capabilities and double the payload capacity of the Phantom MK1. Developers are facing
10:13similar challenges with all the robotic systems being introduced, but these are steadily being resolved.
10:19But alongside robots, there's another key technology that's giving Ukraine the edge on the battlefield and
10:25in the skies – AI. Ukraine's military use of AI has evolved from experimental trials to core
10:32operational capabilities in 2026, particularly in command and control, autonomous targeting,
10:40and swarm coordination. An increasing number of unmanned systems are controlled in at least some
10:45aspects by dozens of AI products, from guidance packages on aerial drones to decision aids at the
10:51highest levels. The most prominent example is the Palantir Software Suite, specifically the Prisma platform,
10:58which has been deployed within Ukraine's Main Intelligence Directorate, or HUR, and other strike units.
11:05Prisma aggregates real-time data from thousands of drones, radar intercepts, and satellite imagery
11:11into a single operational picture, allowing operators in dispersed bunkers to coordinate
11:16mass drone strikes simultaneously. The system's algorithms analyze interception points of previous waves,
11:23radar coverage zones, and air defense density to calculate optimal flight paths in real-time.
11:30It self-learns from every mission, dynamically routing new drones through gaps in Russian defenses that
11:36human planners might miss. It's been a major factor in the increasing effectiveness of Ukraine's long-range strikes.
11:42Another prime example is the TFL-1 module, which can enable a one-way drone to function autonomously
11:48after a human has selected its target, reducing its susceptibility to jamming and other defenses.
11:54Its manufacturer, the Ukrainian company The Fourth Law, says TFL-1 makes a drone four times more likely
12:01to hit its target. Ukraine and its partners are also steaming ahead on new concepts of highly
12:06autonomous defenses against Russian drones, combining ISR sensors and AI to detect and identify
12:13enemy drones in less time and with more certainty. According to David Aloyan, Deputy Secretary of the
12:19National Security and Defense Council of Ukraine, all of the systems are being linked with each other
12:24and with people to create a distributed network with interceptor drones at various locations to be
12:30activated when needed. One day, we will have only like 10 guys who are just going to be responsible for
12:36approving interceptions, and it will automatically go directly to the target. The human operators will be
12:42dispersed as well. Everything can be controlled from Kyiv, Lviv, from cities and other countries,
12:48he said. Now, here at the military show, we don't just regurgitate tired headlines and stories. We fill
12:54in the details you need to understand exactly what's going on and why it matters. So subscribe to the
13:01channel so you never miss out. Now, Ukraine's willingness and ability to rebuild its doctrine,
13:06acquisition and resupply systems around autonomous warfare hasn't just given it an edge over the
13:12slower moving Russian military machine. It also addresses one of the two most critical issues
13:17Ukraine is facing, an increasingly critical shortage of manpower on the front lines.
13:23Russia is estimated to have a 1.5 to 5 to 1 advantage depending on the sector of the front
13:28lines.
13:29What's more, Russia is still able to attract hundreds of thousands of recruits based on high salaries and
13:35other benefits. By contrast, Ukraine has been forced to engage in a brutal program of forced conscription,
13:42nicknamed busification, to try to replace its losses. Hundreds of videos of men being violently
13:47bundled into buses by the TCC, Ukraine's conscription officers to be sent to the front, continue surfacing.
13:55Dire footage released by Ukrainian ombudsman Dmytro Lubinets shows these men being handcuffed to their
14:01beds of stairwells at recruitment centers to prevent any attempted escape. According to Lubinets,
14:07the number of complaints to the ombudsman regarding violations of citizens' rights during mobilization
14:12has increased 333-fold compared to 2022. It's becoming an increasingly serious issue between the
14:20government and the population. Lubinets says those who can pay their way out are released, while others are
14:25mobilized indiscriminately. More and more videos show the population fighting back, attacking,
14:31and chasing off TCC and police officers during busification attempts. At the same time, about 95,000
14:38Ukrainians of military age have entered Germany since the beginning of 2025, 60 percent of the total
14:44number of Ukrainian citizens seeking refuge on German soil. To make matters worse, in January,
14:502003, newly appointed Defense Minister of Ukraine Mikhailo Fedorov revealed that around 2 million
14:55Ukrainians are evading the draft, while some 200,000 Ukrainian soldiers have deserted their positions
15:01without permission. Ukraine has come under increasing pressure from its backers to lower the conscription
15:07age from 25 to 18. Ukraine has refused so far, justifiably stating that this would risk turning what
15:13U.S. international relations professor John Mearsheimer has described as a demographic death spiral into a
15:20demographic death. Instead, Ukraine is increasing pressure on nations like Poland and Germany to
15:26start sending refugees of military age back to Ukraine for conscription. The Institute for the Study
15:31of War, or ISW, writes that as a result of Ukraine's successful mid-range and frontline drone strike
15:37campaigns, Putin must now convince an increasingly tired Russian populace not only to support a fifth year
15:43of war, but also to accept involuntary mobilization for a war that's already cost Russia well over a million
15:49casualties. That may be true, but it appears that ship has long since sailed for Ukraine. Ukrainian
15:56President Volodymyr Zelenskyy's government and its Western backers are quite happy to fight to the
16:00last Ukrainian so long as it weakens Russia. But the evidence suggests that the Ukrainians themselves are,
16:06for the most part, not that keen, to put it mildly.
16:09Now, for all its advances in robotic and unmanned technologies, and for all its many successes in
16:15the world have been causing severe damage to Russia's logistics and economy, this shortage of
16:19manpower is starting to manifest on the front lines. Western sources like the ISW have been claiming for
16:25months that despite this disadvantage, Ukraine has seized the initiative on the battlefield and captured
16:31more territory than Russia, or at least limited its advances to just a handful of miles. They claim
16:36that Russia's average monthly gains for the past 12 months were just 108 square miles, but a close
16:43This examination of the key battlefields tells a different story, especially where it really
16:48counts.
16:48In the Donbas, fighting around Lehmann has intensified once again, with both sides battling
16:54for advantage along a critical section of the front.
16:57But more importantly, according to a growing number of Ukrainian military sources, parts
17:02of the heavily fortified defensive belt in Donetsk Oblast are coming under increasing
17:07pressure, and it's unclear how exactly Ukraine is going to stem the tide.
17:11The critical city of Konstantinyuka has been outflanked, with Russian forces now in more
17:17or less control of all but the northern portions of the city.
17:20Some 12,000 Ukrainian forces are estimated to be encircled, with many others retreating
17:25to the next town in the belt, Druskovka.
17:28As Ukrainian military expert Konstantin Mashovets puts it, as for the further tactical prospects
17:34of the defending Konstantinyuka, they, it seems, are, to put it mildly, very unfavorable for
17:39the Ukrainian armed forces.
17:41Both Kramatorsk and Slovyansk, the other two cities in this belt, are now well within range
17:47of Russian FPV drones and medium-range artillery, with logistics in and out of the cities under
17:52constant pressure.
17:53Ukrainian authorities recently ordered the evacuation of large parts of both cities, along
17:58with the nearby settlements of Belenkye, Malotaranovka and Privolye, underscoring how the situation
18:05is deteriorating.
18:06If this fortress belt falls, there's precious little, by way of heavy fortifications, to
18:12prevent the Russians from capturing the remainder of the Donets oblast and advancing further.
18:17That's why Zelensky has been so adamant that he will not concede to Russian demands that
18:21peace is only possible if Ukrainian forces leave the Donbas.
18:25But unless something changes dramatically in the coming weeks, he may not have a choice.
18:30Further north, Ukrainian experts are sounding the alarm about the situation in the key Kharkiv
18:35oblast logistics hub of Kazuchia Lopen.
18:38Experts have warned that the capture of the town would open up a path for Russian troops
18:42to the immediate outskirts of Kharkiv itself.
18:45Now, if you listen to Ukrainian military experts and not just government-aligned in Western propaganda,
18:51the situation is becoming equally difficult around the key city of Orekiv in Zaporizhia, on
18:57the northern approaches to the city of Sumy and other directions.
19:00But perhaps the most telling sign that Ukrainian frontline successes are not all that they're
19:05being made out to be is the insistence of Zelensky and his key European allies that a unilateral
19:11ceasefire along the current frontlines is a prerequisite for a just and lasting peace.
19:16You have to look really hard through the annals of military history to find examples where
19:21the side that's winning unilaterally decides to cease its advances in favor of the losing
19:25side.
19:26Russia has completely rejected the notion of a ceasefire along the current frontlines while
19:31Ukraine insists on it.
19:33Make of that what you will.
19:34Meanwhile, experts like Tucker and the ISW continue to downplay sources like the Pentagon
19:40Director General's May 2026 report that throw cold water on the narrative of an impending
19:46Ukrainian victory.
19:47The report states that Russia almost certainly retains a significant advantage over Ukraine
19:52in most key areas.
19:53Tucker swats it aside, writing,
19:56To understand how dramatically Ukraine's prospects have changed, consider that in March, National
20:01Intelligence Director Tulsi Gabbard testified that the US intelligence community believed
20:06that Russia had the upper hand in the conflict.
20:09Tucker also seems completely oblivious, whether consciously or not, of the impossible situation Ukraine is
20:15facing in another critical area.
20:17Air defenses against Russia's ever-expanding and improving range of ballistic missiles.
20:23The problem seems insurmountable when it comes to the air defense system Ukraine needs
20:27most, PAK-3 or PAK-2 missiles for the Patriot system, by far the most effective system against
20:33ballistic missiles.
20:34In May, Zelensky penned a lengthy open letter to President Donald Trump, urgently requesting
20:40expedited delivery of these missiles.
20:43It seems to have been ignored, at least publicly.
20:45He also requested a license to manufacture them in Ukraine, which also appears to have been ignored,
20:50if not rebuffed, at least publicly.
20:52He then asked Germany to provide dozens of additional Patriot interceptor missiles from its reserves
20:57by the end of the year.
20:59In return, he promised to deliver interceptor drones, which are expected to be produced in
21:03the future.
21:04An answer is expected in July.
21:06The problem for Zelensky is that, thanks to the war in Ukraine, and more importantly,
21:11the US battle against Iran, there's a chronic shortage of these missiles, and there simply
21:16isn't the production capacity to bridge the gap.
21:18Russia is estimated to produce up to 113 ballistic, aeroballistic, and hypersonic missiles per
21:25month.
21:25Meanwhile, although it has announced plans to drastically ramp up production in the coming
21:29years, Lockheed Martin manufactures only about 52 PAK-3 MSE interceptor missiles monthly.
21:36So even if every single one were delivered to Ukraine, it still wouldn't be enough.
21:41And Ukraine certainly needs them.
21:43In the aftermath of Ukraine's cynical strike on a teacher's training college that left 21
21:48teenage girls dead and dozens more injured, Russia has been steadily intensifying its own
21:53drone and missile strikes across Ukraine.
21:56Targets have expanded to include logistics hubs, gas stations, trucks, and warehouses,
22:01including those holding food and medical supplies.
22:04On June 10, for example, Kharkiv mayor Igor Terukov reported more than 20 strikes with the
22:10Geren type drones within the city limits, leaving several massive fires in their wake.
22:15Putin has vowed systemic strikes against decision making centers, but it's clear these strikes
22:20are intended to cause as much disruption and unhappiness within their own government amongst
22:25the Ukrainian populace.
22:27And that's exactly what Ukraine's increasing strikes on Russia are intended to achieve, forcing
22:32Putin to accept a humiliating defeat.
22:36Putin is indeed under increasing pressure inside Russia, but not to seek an unfavorable peace.
22:42Rather, the vast majority of Russians are demanding ever more vocally that he take off
22:47the kid gloves, so to speak, and hit Ukraine much harder.
22:50As he starts obliging, Zelensky has responded by ramping up Ukraine's long-range strikes inside Russia.
22:57In turn, Russia seems to be taking an increasingly callous view toward Ukrainian civilian casualties,
23:02which are mounting quickly.
23:04And Zelensky and Ukraine are doing the same.
23:07Yulia Mendel, Zelensky's controversial former press secretary, who subsequently fled to the US
23:12and turned on her ex-boss, recently summed up the risks.
23:16If Zelensky's gang doesn't agree to stop the war this summer, Ukraine will face rivers of blood
23:21and a terrible winter.
23:22We will all be told to endure for a few more months.
23:26And once again, they will tell us how Russia is about to collapse right now.
23:29The people who prescribe these messages are not stupid.
23:33They are just sure that we all are stupid," she said.
23:36Nonetheless, Zelensky, his backers in Europe, and the pro-regime press continue to believe
23:41that a devastating defeat for Russia is around the corner.
23:45But what does a Ukrainian victory actually look like?
23:48According to David Aloyan, declaring victory will require more than the cessation of hostilities.
23:53The invading country must be left much weaker, so it can't rearm as it did after its 2014 invasion of
23:59Crimea, he said.
24:01Right now, they're aiming like about 30% of their economy for the defense industry,
24:06which is too much, he added.
24:08The fact that Ukraine is already spending 100% of government revenues to fund its war,
24:13and is entirely dependent on foreign aid and loans to fund salaries, pensions,
24:17and all other government expenditure, seems to have escaped him.
24:20Not to mention that, in addition to allocating all government income to the war effort,
24:25an additional 90 billion euros, about 140 billion dollars in EU support, is already deemed insufficient.
24:33And the EU doesn't actually have the money to lend to Ukraine, it's using confiscated Russian assets.
24:39The result?
24:40Humanitarian aid to Ukraine has declined precipitously, as the long-suffering populace needs it most.
24:46According to the Kiel Institute for the World Economy,
24:49European financial and humanitarian aid allocations dropped to less than one-fifth of the average
24:54monthly level seen in 2025 between January and April 2026.
25:00Poverty, unemployment, and food insecurity are rising,
25:03even as the population keeps declining and inflation keeps ticking higher.
25:08Alongside a growing number of voices you won't see in the mainstream media,
25:12former Ukrainian Foreign Minister Dmitry Kuleba has also voiced skepticism about the Ukraine
25:17that Ukraine has turned the tide narrative.
25:19I don't really want to be a mood killer who sits and prevents people from rejoicing,
25:23but first in November, you and I will return to the narrative about how we all survived the winter,
25:28or the phrases that there was a turning point in the war,
25:31Ukraine has turned everything in the opposite direction,
25:34and now we will march on the Kremlin, it's all nonsense.
25:37Well, I understand that for some listeners, this is for their mental state.
25:40It's a very useful story.
25:43So, who's deluding themselves or outright lying?
25:46Are the likes of Tucker, the ISW, and Zelensky right?
25:50Is Ukraine moving rapidly towards a decisive victory that forces Russia to accept humiliating
25:55peace terms and ultimately an internal collapse within Russia?
25:59Or are Zelensky and his partners in the EU and UK
26:03cynically devastating the Ukrainian people and economy,
26:06chasing a pipe dream of some kind of Ukrainian victory?
26:09More pertinently, where are all of Zelensky's escalations leading?
26:14Everyone seems to have forgotten that Russia is the world's largest nuclear power.
26:18The point of that power is to prevent such a defeat.
26:21So, are the Europeans really willing to risk nuclear attacks,
26:25and or a full declaration of war by Russia,
26:28involving the mobilization of hundreds of thousands more troops?
26:31Would France or the UK really risk trading London or Paris for, say,
26:35Dnipro by launching retaliatory nuclear strikes if Russia went as far as a few nuclear strikes?
26:41Would their populations allow it in the first place?
26:45Roman Kostenko, secretary of the RADA Defense Committee,
26:49recently warned about the risks of Russian use of tactical nukes to secure a front-line breakthrough
26:53and or a mass mobilization, and how difficult it would be for Ukraine to counter them.
26:59Time will tell.
27:01In the meantime, we take a look into the future with this video
27:04about how Russia won't recover from the war for the next 100 years.
27:08And how much this is.
27:08It's my view.
27:08I think it's your view.
27:08Because of the fact that, it has thrown a bit to a few steps on the front-line,
27:09And in a way, as it was a huge deal.
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