00:00i don't understand dallas opened up as a 10 point favorite at home against a tampa bay bucks team
00:08that's oh and four and has a undrafted rookie quarterback who threw two interceptions
00:13rushed for 55 but clearly looks like he's in over his head there in tampa who doesn't look i think
00:21we can agree like a very good football team that's not down to seven and a half in some spots
00:27here
00:27so what am i what am that from 10 to seven and a half so i'm not seeing anything out
00:34of the
00:34ordinary for dallas like injuries or that offensively dallas is is fine but what am i
00:41missing there well look historical data uh you know which isn't valid from 2006 or 8 or 10 or 15
00:50but but historical data is that just generally speaking dallas is the worst betting team in
00:55the nfl is a favorite even worse is a favorite of seven point even or even worse is a favorite
01:01of
01:0110 you know so you know they're always very much overvalued uh i this is the only thing that i
01:09guess
01:09that i look at with this game is that i can't take tampa bay i won't take dallas but i
01:14can't take tampa
01:14bay i can't do it i can't hold my nose and do it if they do and they win and
01:19they cover great so be it
01:21i'm not going to be on that side uh i watched some of that game last week i think uh
01:26you know
01:26the glazer family who have owned the buccaneers for a long time they're looking to upgrade the stadium
01:32uh i i think i think that they would love to have a competitive team i think that this is
01:36probably
01:36tearing them apart that they gave baker mayfield that money and the team is so bad but that's where
01:42a good gm steps in and says guys look around us we stink let's let's just roll with it and
01:50and just
01:50have our season you know unfortunately the odds on fan duel and draft kings have uh bowls as the
01:56overwhelming first uh coach fired in the nfl like by the way it is not even close like he is
02:01by
02:01far that's crazy you know ahead of hardball ahead of sirianni like not even close like he is
02:07like he may not get fired but like he is overwhelming and the bucks are not afraid to make
02:10uh coaching changes there's some uh rumor you know you innuendo gruden comes back to tampa bay
02:18uh to coach the bucks i mean i mean who knows if that ends up happening but i'm i'm i'm
02:25getting too
02:26far away from the plot here uh in fantasy i picked up dallas's defense as much as i hate dallas
02:31just
02:32because i could absolutely see a pick six i could absolutely see a fumble recovery for a touchdown
02:37and and i just don't know joe uh for me how tampa bay withstands down 10 or 14 in that
02:47game
02:47and they're not even running the ball that well like it's not even like they could lean on bucky
02:52irving to go 20 for 100 like they or mike evans who's not there anymore like i i honestly without
02:58baker mayfield i didn't know that how drastic it would be from him to the next guy but i guess
03:04we
03:04probably should know that in the nfl as we've talked about are there five great backups in the
03:08nfl are there 10 definitely not and daniels is uh you know he joe he may start a lot longer
03:16i don't
03:16know i mean i know dr chow came on with us yesterday and said baker mayfield may play i was
03:19shocked by
03:19that i had no idea that he was even close me too but and maybe that's it but right that's
03:25what i'm
03:25saying maybe that's the possibility well that's the only explanation that i have for the line move but
03:30by the way if baker mayfield was playing dallas is definitely not seven and a half point favorites
03:34like i think that's baked in to seven and a half as a maybe i agree i agree listen double
03:40what do you make a short week is not ever with baker mayfield six and a half right six and
03:47a half
03:47it would have been under a touchdown without a doubt it but it certainly wouldn't have been
03:5210 at the opening number which is where they were uh which it should be if he doesn't play
03:59what would a rookie quarterback dallas i would only ever back as a favorite at home on the road
04:06you could tease it with something else you know but i i i can't i but even as even as
04:12a survivor
04:13world craig is going to be on the dallas cowboys on thursday night this week the entire teaser uh the
04:20entire survivor crew what else it what's the better spot than that right even though and i know people
04:27get cute i know thanksgiving is a double week usually in the um you're right in the in the
04:31survivors but it doesn't matter like you gotta be dallas come on yeah yeah i mean they'll probably
04:37they'll probably win the game but i i my big concern in this one is that are we about to
04:45get the first big
04:46blowout on thursday night i got i'm not i still i still will not take dallas i still will not
04:50do it but
04:51are we about to get you know like a your point is valid greg they're up 17 to 3 how
04:59do you come
04:59back tampa they can't even run i don't see it that's what i mean i don't i i don't see
05:06it uh and
05:07say what you want i listen i didn't i thought houston was the right side in that game uh i
05:12thought so
05:12too it was one play joe it's all one play you can't get upset with one play well at the
05:17end of
05:17the game if you lose on one play how do you let cd lamb have 17 receptions if you're the
05:23yeah i i and
05:25and by the way pickens has really done nothing all season yeah that's it's it's the guy florinoy
05:30their third uh third receiver yeah better than pickens so i don't get it yeah i i don't i don't
05:37have the answer there but i would assume tampa bay will cover lamb a little more
05:42you
05:42you
05:42you
05:42you