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  • 2 weeks ago
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00:00Um, but Jan is a big underdog here, plus 260.
00:04Is this another one of these fights with Sterling that, do you trust him?
00:09Like, should he be this big of a favorite?
00:13Yeah, Sterling's a guy I've never been super confident with.
00:16He's coming off a couple nice knockout wins, but, I mean, the guys he's beating are, you know, Bruno Silva,
00:24a guy that's completely done, completely washed, getting knocked out by everybody.
00:30Um, and then Kudalaba, who came out, you know, had him in a bad spot early, got it, got the
00:35takedown against Sterling,
00:37had him, you know, nearly had a choke, but didn't really have it.
00:40And, you know, Kudalaba is one of those guys, he starts fast, he tries to get that wrestling going,
00:45and if things don't go well, he starts to fade.
00:48That's kind of what happened.
00:49And so, I mean, Jan is the best guy that, uh, that he's fought.
00:54Uh, the only problem with Jan is he's 43 years old.
00:57He's had a lot of injuries.
00:58He's been through a lot of wars.
01:00He's fought the best of the best in this division over the past 10 years.
01:05So, yeah, I mean, I, I think, I don't think Jan really has any kind of path to victory here.
01:11I am kind of interesting, interested in the takedowns, because I do think he could, you know, go for takedowns.
01:18He, the last, you know, last few times he, he took guys down where, you know, Alex Pereira, first round
01:26was taking him down over, over and over again.
01:28Uh, Israel Adesanya, who's a teammate, uh, of Sterling here.
01:33And, um, you know, he, he took Izzy down for five straight rounds, you know, a title fight at 205.
01:39So the takedowns are live in this spot, but, um, yeah, outside of that, I mean, Jan, he's just 43
01:46years old, a lot of damage.
01:48I don't really see him, you know, finding a, a, a, a victory in this one.
01:55No, and I, I can't disagree with you here.
01:57Just for the record, a parlay of the two favorites on the main event and the co-main event right
02:03now is in the minus 150, uh, range.
02:06Uh, what do you think of Rakic and, uh, and Tybora, who, another big number here, minus 350.
02:14Tybora's the big dog here at plus 275.
02:19Yeah, this fight's pretty terrible.
02:21I mean, Rakic, he's kind of like Jan.
02:24I mean, he's not as old, but doesn't really do a lot in his fights.
02:28He's pretty boring.
02:30Hasn't really had a win in, you know, four or five years.
02:34And Tybora.
02:35Sounds like an over.
02:37Yeah, absolutely.
02:38Yeah, it's an absolute over because, I mean, these guys can be staring at each other for three rounds.
02:43They can be leaning on each other.
02:44If Tybora is able to get him down and land some ground and pound, you know, Tybora is live in
02:50this fight.
02:51But Rakic does have pretty solid takedown defense.
02:53He was a pretty big guy at 205.
02:56So I expect him to come in here probably, you know, 235, 240.
03:01Like, he'll probably have some weight on him.
03:04But, I mean, these guys are two guys that don't, you know, they don't put up a lot of volume
03:09on the feet.
03:09They don't really do a lot.
03:11And to be honest with you, Rakic, if you go back and look at his career wins, they're not really
03:16all that impressive.
03:18And like I said, he hasn't had a win in a long time.
03:20So I like the overs in this one, you know, maybe a live betting spot here.
03:26If Tybora, you know, can get some takedowns, he might have a shot here to kind of swing some things.
03:32But, yeah, to me, this is just a really bad fight.
03:35I think it goes over.
03:37I think it goes all three rounds because neither guy really has that killer instinct.
03:42And Tybora's, you know, he's pretty slow and sluggish just in general as it is.
03:47I mean, they both are, to be fair.
03:49So, yeah, I expect overs in this fight.
03:51I expect it to be probably pretty boring.
03:53So if you bet the money line on either side, you're probably going to be disappointed for the most of
03:58the fight.
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