00:00Let's start it off right now. Georgia and Tennessee, the SEC, big game of the week.
00:05And I love this. Why? This line, Joe, opened up at seven and a half.
00:09This line now sits at certain outlets at minus three and a half.
00:14Georgia slipping as a favorite. The total, Joe, 50 and a half still in the marketplace.
00:18Tell me why this line is moving.
00:20Dominance by the Georgia Bulldogs. The numbers suggest that Georgia should be live.
00:25But do they have an upgrade potentially at quarterback?
00:28So let's take the Georgia side. It opens at six and a half.
00:31There is some injuries on the Georgia side, and we know about some injuries on the Tennessee side.
00:36How does that affect Georgia's defense?
00:38They've won eight straight in the series, the last four by an average margin of victory, Donnie, of 20 points per game.
00:44The last four games in Knoxville, it's been all Bulldogs.
00:48They've won by an average margin of victory of 31 and a half points per game.
00:52So if Joey Aguilar struggles in this matchup against the front seven and against that secondary, it could be a long day.
00:58I'll say this. This is the lowest spread in the series dating back to 2016-2015.
01:06In 2015, Georgia laid two points.
01:08They lost the game outright.
01:10Back in 2016, they come back and lay three and a half and lost it 38-31.
01:15You're seeing a lot of money come in on Tennessee.
01:17Potentially, Josh Heupel, that offense, we'll see if they can step up.
01:21I'll just say this. Georgia has an identity.
01:24They're averaging 214 rushing yards per game, 51-0 dating back to 2017.
01:31Every time they pound the rock for over 200, they've won those games by an average margin of victory of 37.9 points per game.
01:39A lot of trends favoring Georgia, but styles make fights.
01:43Good. Let's start with Georgia here. Let's have a conversation with them.
01:45You take a look at their first two games of the season, they are 2-0.
01:48They beat Marshall 45-7.
01:49And then Austin Peay, Joe, interesting score, 28-6 final.
01:53Not doing a lot. I don't know if it was a look-ahead game or that rain.
01:56I think they were delayed quite a few hours in that one.
01:59Stockton at quarterback, Nate Frazier at running back.
02:01Zachariah Branch, obviously their top wide receiver, the transfer in from USC.
02:05And you're right, Joe, eight straight wins over Tennessee.
02:07When I look at Georgia, I don't see the electricity just yet in offense.
02:12Now they're going to go on the road.
02:13Does that change today, or is Georgia going to be built, Joe, on let's play great defense,
02:17let's run the football, and let's get out of town?
02:19I think Gunnar Stockton will have to make plays.
02:22But it's all predicated on the rushing attack.
02:24If they get shut down early in this matchup, especially playing on the road,
02:28where they can't run the football, and you look at Tennessee only giving up 76 rushing yards per game,
02:34they're giving up 220 in the back end.
02:36It's going to be a long day for Gunnar Stockton.
02:37So it really hinges on the offensive line and Nate Frazier.
02:41I like Nate Frazier today, 56 and a half rushing total.
02:44I altered him at plus 168 to 70 plus in this game.
02:48But to your point, if the offensive line is struggling with the physicality and athleticism at Tennessee,
02:53it could be a long day for Gunnar Stockton because that means potentially trailing from behind
02:58and long third down situations, something he struggled with against Notre Dame.
03:03Look, not great competition.
03:04We know that at the start of the season, a lot of the schools do that.
03:06Let's get a couple little layups out of the way.
03:08Then we start to take on that top 20, top 15 competition, which you are getting today.
03:12But also, Joe, understand this.
03:14Seven points against Marshall on defense.
03:15Still good.
03:16So even the backups are performing well.
03:18Six points against Austin Peay.
03:19I just feel like George is going to be that defensive team because as we start to transition, Joe,
03:23and talk about Tennessee, first game, Syracuse, 45 points on the board.
03:26Second game, again, Eastern Tennessee State, not really a great competition, but still 72 points.
03:31Joey Aguilar, 535 yards on the season, Joe.
03:34Five touchdowns, no interceptions.
03:35You got Star Thomas over there, Deshaun Bishop, very good in the backfield.
03:38Three wide receivers also already, Joe, over 100 yards on the season.
03:44So coming into this game, it feels to me like Georgia's going to bring the defense.
03:47I'm not saying Tennessee won't, but Tennessee could be supplying the offense today.
03:51Does that sound?
03:51Yeah.
03:52I mean, when you look at Tennessee in recent games, and go back to the game a couple of years ago
03:57when they were, you know, right top five and Hendon Hooker was playing lights out,
04:00they still were about a seven-and-a-half, eight-point underdog heading into Athens.
04:05But if that offense starts to cook, they're averaging 250 rushing yards per game,
04:09well over 300 yards in back-to-back games against an FCS opponent in Syracuse week one.
04:15That's going to put pressure on Georgia potentially to match them score for score.
04:19The problem has been they have never gotten into a rhythm against Georgia where they could jump up early
04:25and dictate the tempo.
04:27That's why it all hinges on Aguilar and that passing attack, I believe.
04:30If they're running the football effectively and Aguilar's making plays over the top,
04:35that's going to be a problem for Georgia.
04:37Again, the M.O. has been let's play ball control, let's beat them up in the interior and trenches,
04:43something that Georgia's done very well.
04:45Eight and two against the number of Kirby Smart the last 10 years against Tennessee.
04:50So we'll see how this plays out.
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