00:00The Atlantic looks calm right now, but don't be fooled.
00:03Experts say we're standing on the edge of a storm surge. Literally.
00:07So far, three named storms have formed.
00:10That's actually above average for this point in the season.
00:13But those storms were weak.
00:15And by a key measure of hurricane power, called ACE, this has been the slowest start since 2009.
00:20That's about to change.
00:22Meteorologists are seeing signs.
00:24Tropical waves are strengthening.
00:26Ocean waters are warming fast.
00:28Now the seventh warmest since 1981.
00:31And a key atmospheric pulse called the Madden-Julian Oscillation is shifting into a storm-favoring phase.
00:37Even the dust from the Sahara, usually a storm killer, is at record lows.
00:41And that means fewer obstacles ahead.
00:44August is when things get real.
00:46Over 95% of major hurricane activity happens after July.
00:50And forecasters say the first and second weeks of August could get busy.
00:54So while the skies may be quiet now, a dangerous turn could be just days away.
00:58End with this call to action.
01:00Stay alert.
01:01Stay prepared.
01:02And don't let the calm fool you.
01:03Stay alert.
01:04Stay alert.
01:05Stay alert.
01:06Stay alert.
01:07Stay alert.
01:08Stay alert.
01:09Stay alert.
01:10Stay alert.
01:11Stay alert.
01:12Stay alert.
01:13Stay alert.
01:14Stay alert.
01:15Stay alert.
01:16Stay alert.
01:17Stay alert.
01:18Stay alert.
01:19Stay alert.
01:20Stay alert.
01:21Stay alert.
01:22Stay alert.
01:23Stay alert.
01:24Stay alert.
01:25Stay alert.
01:26Stay alert.
01:27Stay alert.
01:28Stay alert.
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