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00:00It is still Patrick Mahomes.
00:02Unbeaten in the divisional round.
00:04I mean, he's a very tough to beat quarterback.
00:07We know that.
00:08255 and a half is his passing prop.
00:11One and a half passing touchdowns, minus 160.
00:15The rushing prop checks in today
00:17at 24 and a half, climbing number.
00:20Kelsey, 52 and a half.
00:21All right, that's a little bit reserved.
00:23And that's because that KC pass catching room
00:25that at once was a, how is he doing this?
00:29But now it's a little depth to it.
00:30With Hollywood Brown back to trade for Hopkins.
00:33Worthy getting better.
00:34When you look at Mahomes today, Donnie,
00:36I see somebody being priced,
00:38not for what he did in the regular season,
00:40but somebody who's bent for what he's done
00:42in past post-season performance.
00:44Yes, and also you have to understand this as well.
00:47The public is betting it more heavily
00:49and condensed games as opposed to the regular season.
00:51Same way we get close to the NFC Championship game,
00:53AFC title game, and the Super Bowl.
00:55The public tends to jump in.
00:56So they might be parachuting in.
00:58Hey, what are we doing today?
00:59Well, let's watch the Kansas City game.
01:00What's Mahomes?
01:01Definitely throws two.
01:02But do we know that?
01:03No, obviously not.
01:04But he is juiced as if he is wheeling and dealing
01:06and throwing multiple touchdowns every week.
01:08But the one thing I do like is,
01:09Kelsey has really appeared in the last two playoffs,
01:12even if you thought he had a down season,
01:13because he's basically gonna get three weeks off
01:15to be shot out of a cannon.
01:16So you know what?
01:17I feel really good.
01:18This is the best my legs have felt the entire way.
01:20Also talking a little bit, Hollywood Brown.
01:22I think his first game was the Houston Texans game.
01:24He now has weeks and weeks and weeks to fit into the fold.
01:27Worthy's come along after having a slower rookie start here
01:30as not being the focal point.
01:31So now just about the focal point.
01:32So I understand the expectations.
01:34But I was talking to Joe, you know,
01:35before we got on the show.
01:36This is a game where I'm looking at Kansas City going,
01:38I think they score points.
01:40I think they can win the football game.
01:40And I think they can cover.
01:42But there's so many cooks in the kitchen, Joe,
01:44including the backfield and Patrick Mahomes.
01:46I actually don't know who has the overall value.
01:48Like, let me pick this guy.
01:49And oh no, Hopkins had a big day.
01:51Let me pick this guy.
01:51Oh no, it's Worthy with the big day.
01:53Or Noah Gray or Watson, right?
01:55One of those players that steps up.
01:58So I agree with you.
01:59I think, Kev, when you look at the numbers, though,
02:01I think they're sort of priced correctly for Mahomes.
02:04And again, you talk about from the Bills' loss,
02:07six games he's averaged 254.
02:10His number's 255, right?
02:12Prior to the Bills' loss, 10 games, right?
02:16He's averaged 245 passing yards per game.
02:18So all right, so you want to take right in the middle
02:21of that, let's say it's 250.
02:23So he's five yards off.
02:24You know, with a playoff type of situation.
02:26Here's the thing, and I agree with Donnie.
02:28Which one is he gonna go to?
02:29I will say, when you watched the game last week,
02:31L.A. and Houston, Justin Herbert, early first quarter,
02:35they were running the football effectively.
02:37He was hitting the tight end.
02:38Disley made some plays.
02:40Houston adjusted.
02:41So again, we talk about, all right,
02:43who do you want to take away?
02:44Or at least, let's say limit, if you can.
02:47I don't want him to look and stare down Travis Kelsey
02:50in any capacity, especially early on.
02:52I don't want him to get comfortable.
02:55And on third down situations, if we can limit Kelsey
02:57to maybe four receptions, 50 yards, right on his number,
03:00that's a pretty good job.
03:01I just don't want him 11 receptions, 100 yards,
03:04what he did in the AFC Championship game last year.
03:07I do think Hollywood Brown is the outlier
03:10because of the speed perspective.
03:12You talk about players potentially working in the slot.
03:14We have Dee Hopkins, I believe at 38, 39 is his number.
03:19Hollywood has a higher number at 43 and a half.
03:21That's why you acquired him.
03:24I would say worthy, but again, I just,
03:26I believe that Pat Mahomes likes to go to veterans
03:29in terms of these type of situations.
03:31It's Dee Hop, it's Hollywood Brown.
03:33And then maybe if you want to take Kelsey,
03:35maybe any time touchdown with Pacheco at plus 165.
03:39To me, the number for Mahomes that is most interesting
03:42is whether or not he throws an interception.
03:45Okay.
03:46Six straight games down the regular season without a pick.
03:48Eight of the last nine, he did not throw an interception.
03:51After being picked off the first seven games of the season
03:54and some multiple times,
03:56does Mahomes turn the football over?
03:59That becomes, and you know, I know he's very good
04:01in the postseason about protecting the ball.
04:04Houston is, ask Herbert.
04:05Right.
04:06Yeah, again, just the,
04:07Herbert threw three interceptions in the regular season
04:10and four last week against Houston.
04:12Yeah.
04:13They are very, very good at turning the quarterback over.
04:16Let's move over to game number two.
04:18I just want to add one thing too.
04:19If you're looking Mahomes rushing,
04:21that game against Houston was the game
04:23he came off the ankle.
04:25He did score.
04:26He was an 11 to one price in that game.
04:28So, you know, that could be another look
04:29in terms of this game for any time touchdown.